Pakistan Economic Intelligence Center Comparisonspakeconintel.com/comparisons/inflation-vs-policy-rate

CPI Inflation vs SBP Policy Rate

Pakistan's headline year-over-year inflation rate against the State Bank's benchmark policy rate.

CPI Inflation vs SBP Policy Rate

Pakistan's headline year-over-year inflation rate against the State Bank's benchmark policy rate.

CPI Inflation rose 21.2% over the selected period — from 9.66% to 11.70%.

Policy Rate rose 64.3% over the selected period — from 7.00% to 11.50%.

Over this period, CPI Inflation and Policy Rate moved closely together, moving in the same direction (correlation coefficient: 0.69).

Sources: SBP EasyData

Why It Matters

SBP's primary tool for controlling inflation is the policy rate — this comparison shows how closely (and with what lag) rate decisions have tracked actual inflation outcomes.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does the policy rate sometimes stay high after inflation falls?

Central banks often hold rates steady for a period after inflation cools to confirm the decline is durable before cutting — cutting too early risks reigniting price pressures.

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